Metalli in ripresa

Scritto il alle 09:41 da [email protected]

Continua il ribasso dell’oro causato dalle societá che gestiscono l’andamento di alcuni ETF. Addirittura é stato toccato un minimo a 1540 dollari per oncia, livello che non vedevamo da giugno 2012. Fonti di Bloomberg rivelano che gli stessi gestori hanno liquidato posizioni per 10 tonnellate nella seduta del 3 aprile, provocando il maggiore flusso di vendita delle ultime due settimane.
Tecnicamente, la candela di giovedí 4 aprile potrebbe far pensare ad un’inversione. Una prima conferma é arrivata nella seduta successiva con molti compratori che ne hanno sostenuto la quotazione fino alla ripresa del supporto statico di area 1577$.

Stessa situazione tecnica anche sul Silver, che a fine marzo ha subito peró una pressione ribassista ancora piú netta rispetto al metallo giallo. Ci si potrebbe aspettare un ritracciamento rialzista ancora piú marcato per questo contratto, a conferma di questo l’oscillatore stocastico ha ripreso a salire uscendo finalmente dalla fase di ipervenduto che ne accompagnava le quotazioni da parecchio tempo. Vediamo dal grafico sottostante il paragone dell’oro sull’argento nell’ultima settimana e aggiungiamo che anche su base mensile l’andamento dello spread tra i due strumenti é stato ancora a favore del metallo giallo che ha overperformato l’argento del 2.5%. Per le prossime sedute é interessante valutare la possibile apertura di una posizione di senso opposto: long Silver / short Gold allo stesso tempo, per fare trading sulla forza relativa tra i due strumenti, che potrebbe essere maggiore per l’argento nelle prossime sedute.

Sul grafico del Palladio invece vediamo un interessante doppio minimo in area 715$. Su questo metallo il ribasso delle ultime sedute ha superato l’8%. I robusti profitti dell’industria automobilistica statunitense dichiarati nel mese di marzo potranno favorire una forte ripresa della domanda su questo metallo (e anche sul platino).
Notiamo dal grafico sottostante come anche in questo caso il semplice oscillatore stocastico abbia segnalato egregiamente sia il ritracciamento dai 3 massimi (13 febbraio, 8 marzo, 1 aprile) e la ripresa dal minimo del 3 marzo. Il minimo di venerdí 5 aprile combacia perfettamente con quello precedente, eventuali aperture long dai livelli attuali potrebbero essere gestite con uno stop loss proprio sotto questo livello.

CMC Markets ti offre la possibilitá di fare trading sull’oro e su altre materie prime con spread ridotti, senza commissioni sull’eseguito, marginazione a partire dall’1% e valore del contratto a partire da un dollaro a punto soltanto!

Stefano Gianti
Sales Trader & Education

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